7 December, 2008

The Reserve Bank on Thursday 4 December cut its official cash rate by an unprecedented 1.5 percentage points to 5 percent and banks moved quickly to cut lending rates by varying amounts.

“It will provide a solid boost to business confidence and give us the chance to return to growth next year,” said Wellington Regional Chamber of Commerce chief executive Charles Finny.

Bruce Goldsworthy, acting chief executive of the Employers and Manufacturers Association (Northern) said given the softening in demand in world markets, exporters needed today’s big cut to keep downward pressure on the New Zealand dollar.

The New Zealand dollar has fallen from above US82c this year to US53c this week, increasing returns to exporters. But exporters also face the prospect of slower demand in export markets as a result of the global financial crisis.

Countries around the world have slashed interest rates to stimulate economies. This week the Reserve Bank of Australia lowered its rate by 100 basis points to 4.25 percent, taking the rate to its lowest level in 6-1/2 years.

“For exporters it’s vital that our interest rates do not get too far out of whack with those in Australia and elsewhere lest our currency falls victim to offshore speculators and/or investors in our debt instruments,” Mr Goldsworthy said.

Source: NZ Herald

4 December, 2008

Banks moved within hours to slash home loan rates in the wake of the Reserve Bank cutting its official cash rate by a record 1.5 percentage points to 5 per cent.

State-owned Kiwibank said it was offering a one-year fixed rate of 6.49 per cent and a variable rate of 7.45 per cent.

Westpac cut its fixed mortgage rates with the two-year rate falling 50 basis points to 6.85 per cent and the five-year rate falling 45 basis points to 7.4 per cent. The Westpac one-year rate is 6.8 per cent.

The ANZ and The National Bank brands are offering six month, one-year and 18 month fixed rate mortgages at 6.99 per cent.

Many of the banks said they had already cut rates in anticipation of today’s move so collectively the moves were large.

ANZ National, ASB, BNZ and Invercargill-based SBS Bank announced their cuts today.

In a clear message to lenders, Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard said the Reserve Bank expected financial institutions to play their part in the economic adjustment process by passing on lower wholesale interest rates to their customers.

The Reserve Bank acknowledged that recent falls in wholesale interest rates had resulted in “markedly” lower mortgage interest rates offered to new borrowers and households re-pricing existing debt.

Today’s decision brings the cumulative reduction in the official cash rate since July to 3.25 percentage points.

However, banks have moved to tighten credit policies, making it harder for first time home owners to borrow money. ANZ National Bank and some other lenders are now requiring a 20 per cent deposit for most home purchases.

Kiwibank made significant cuts to its rates in late November in anticipation of the move by the Reserve Bank, chief executive Sam Knowles said.

“The decision by the Reserve Bank to make a cut of 1.5 per cent gives Kiwibank room to pass on further savings to those with home loans,” he said.

“In the space of two weeks we have been able to bring down our variable rate from 8.70 per cent to 7.45 per cent. We have also brought the key short-end fixed rates below 7 per cent.”

The bank has not been able to offer such low home loan rates for four years, he said.

ASB announced a drop in its variable home lending rate by 75 basis points, saying it had already cut 75 points in anticipation of the Reserve Bank’s actions. Its new rate is 7.95 per cent. Other term rates remain the same.

SBS, the former Southland Building Society, dropped its floating rate mortgage 195 basis points to 7.20 per cent - a four-year low.

“SBS Bank is able to pass on the full benefits of the OCR reduction and more because we are not affected by the increased cost of borrowing offshore, which has been a result of the global credit crunch,” said chief executive Ross Smith.

“In real terms, it means that householders on a floating rate with a 30-year, $300,000 loan will see about $315.00 carved off their monthly mortgage payments. Passing on the full reduction could potentially be a lifeline to some homeowners.”

BNZ cut its floating mortgage rate to 7.75 per cent for mortgages with a 20 per cent deposit. Its six month rate drops to 6.49 per cent.

The ANZ and National Bank variable mortgage rate is now 8.2 per cent.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand - Media Release

Date 4 December 2008

The Reserve Bank today reduced the Official Cash Rate (OCR) from 6.5 percent to 5.0 percent.

Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard commented that “ongoing financial market turmoil and the marked deterioration in the outlook for global growth have played a large role in shaping today’s decision. Activity in most of our trading partners is now expected to contract or grow only very slowly over the next few quarters.

“Economic activity in New Zealand will be further constrained as a result, compared with our view in October.

“Inflation is abating here and overseas as a consequence of these developments. We now have more confidence that annual inflation will return comfortably inside the target band of 1 to 3 percent some time in the first half of 2009 and remain there over the medium term. However, we still have concerns that domestically generated inflation (particularly local body rates and electricity prices) is remaining stubbornly high.

“Today’s decision brings the cumulative reduction in the OCR since July to 3.25 percent, and takes monetary policy to an expansionary position. Given recent developments in the global economy, the balance of risks to activity and inflation are to the downside. Thus it is appropriate to deliver this reduction quickly to support the economy and keep inflation from falling below the target band.

“Monetary policy is working together with the depreciation of the New Zealand dollar and the fiscal stimulus now in train, to provide substantial support to demand over the period ahead and to create the conditions for some rebound in growth as global conditions improve.

“To ensure the response we are seeking, we expect financial institutions to play their part in the economic adjustment process by passing on lower wholesale interest rates to their customers.

“Further movements in the OCR will be assessed against emerging developments in the global and domestic economies and the response to policy changes already in place.”

Source: NZ Herald 

17 May, 2008

Queenstown is predicted to continue thriving, mainly because of Australia’s economic success.

The Queenstown Lakes District is not immune to price increases and the downturn in property sales, but has recently topped the ladder for population and business growth in a study, and optimism remains high.

Much of this is due to the growing tourist market, mostly from Australia, and the healthy foreign demand for property and services in the region.

“The well-being of our economy relies more on the well-being of the Australian economy than it does on the New Zealand economy,” said Queenstown Lakes District mayor Clive Geddes.

“The single largest group of visitors who come here are Australians, and they are also very active in purchasing retirement and holiday homes.”

With the Australian economy doing well, and its Government about to give tax cuts worth $57 billion over four years, Queenstown’s opportunities should only increase.

“We will not be wholly unaffected by what happens in the rest of New Zealand. We would be foolish to think that,” Mr Geddes said.

“It may well be that a downturn in the property market catches up with Queenstown, but it won’t dampen people’s attitudes about the place and its future.”

Tourist growth was lower than it had been in recent years “but there is still growth”.

“I think that is because over the years the resort has been developed in a way which has preserved its single greatest asset, which is the landscape.”

John Darby, the developer behind a multibillion-dollar resort settlement at Queenstown’s Jacks Point, believes that while the property market nationally has slowed, Queenstown is poised for continued growth.

“All indicators suggest that demand for property in Queenstown, both as permanent residences and holiday homes, is going to remain high.

“The lifestyle offered in Queenstown and the sheer beauty of the area means it is a place that people are always going to want to be a part of.”

This winter, 14 direct flights a week will arrive in Queenstown from Australia - mainly because of the ski season - increasing capacity on the transtasman route by 27 per cent.

“Australia doesn’t have a true alpine lake resort, so a holiday in Queenstown is a very appealing proposition,” Mr Darby said.

Bill Dolan, chief executive of the Queenstown Chamber of Commerce, said local businesses were lucky to have had a “ripper year” last year.